Markets 2025
The Federal Reserve Interest rate decision along with President Elect Trumps agenda is front and center. Will the Fed cut rates by another .25%? Last week, for the 4th month in a row the CPI increased .3%. Down significantly from our recent inflation highs, the math is not yet pointing to the Fed’s desire, a […]
Home Stretch – What’s Next?
Home Stretch of 2024. Less than 7 weeks until we usher in 2025! The major US stock market indexes are enjoying double digit gains: The major international stock market index averages are trailing the US: Bond yields have remained range bound most of 2024, however the 10-year US Treasury ended last week with a yield […]
Fed – Third Times a charm? Social Security – % Applying Early
The Chair of the Federal Reserve remains one of the most important positions in the global economy. I cannot imagine the various forms of pressure that filter into decision making. We are in a time of our economy, monetary policy needs to get it right. Looking back, Fed Chair Powell, in fall of 2018 was […]
Stocks – Orderly Pull Back!
The S&P 500 reached a new all-time high, 3588, the Nasdaq Composite did the same, reaching 12,074, both on September 2, 2020. From there, these major stock indexes have pulled back in what I consider, an orderly fashion. No panic for now, just the realization that valuations were getting stretched, the uncertainty of additional stimulus […]
Housing “Cocktail” Drives Prices Higher?
The housing market has been one of the slowest sectors to recover from the doldrums of the 2008 great recession. Over the last couple of months, the numbers suggest a changing trend, at least for now. Add this to your cocktail shaker: record low interest rates, pent up demand from our shutdown, the desire to […]
Markets Higher Last Week… & Pouring Rain Did Not Stop Father’s Day!!!
Recovery, Fast or Slow? We are now over 3 months from the beginning of our economic shut down! Those who are allowed to and ventured out, certainly spent money in May, as retail sales increased far more than expected. There is very little doubt that consumer spending is going to continue increasing, as more states […]
Markets Moving Very Fast!
What a difference 1 week can make! Prior to last week, stock markets were pricing extreme optimism, in my opinion. Last week optimism quickly retreated, at least for now, as the Dow Jones retreated (5.51%), the S&P (4.73%), and the Nasdaq Composite (2.27%). The Russell 2000 Small Cap index led the decline by falling (7.89%) […]
Market Optimism is SKY HIGH!
An amazing 2.5 Million Jobs were added back in May, according to last Friday’s ADP employment report. The crazy part is: economists estimated we’d have a LOSS of over 8 Million Jobs. Certainly, shows that no one can accurately predict the data, except those that guess correctly. A combination of Federal Reserve Monetary Support, Government […]
Warm Weather Breeds Optimism! Plus the “HEROES Act”
I cannot wait until this entire issue in the rear-view mirror, however there is ONE item I’ll truly miss. For the last several weeks, driving to my office or anywhere I needed to go was wonderful from a traffic standpoint. Perhaps it’s me; however I think all of the “crazy” drivers stayed home! As the […]